Tag: foundation models
Can Google’s TabFM Predict Polymarket Crypto Markets? A Zero-Shot Backtest
Can Google’s TabFM Predict Polymarket Crypto Markets? A Zero-Shot Backtest Markets tested: Polymarket 5-minute BTC/ETH/XRP directional contracts | Sample: 1,320 walk-forward predictions across 55 folds | Models: TabFM (zero-shot), XGBoost, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, SVM Executive Summary Polymarket’s 5-minute crypto contracts ask a deceptively simple question — will price be higher or lower five minutes…